Monday, October 5, 2015

A BRIEF HISTORY OF... THE NEW YORK METS... REDUX

With the Mets back in the postseason for the first time in nearly a decade, let's revisit the team with a shiny new retrospective. If you're so inclined, the original article is still up and can be found here. Although this one is sure to look more like my usual team retrospectives than the old one. At the very least, it'll be spaced out better than the old one.


Starting Up: The Mets have their roots in the Continental League. What the hell is the Continental League you ask? Some history— both the Brooklyn Dodgers and New York Giants moved to California before the 1958 season. New York City, which had had at least two National League franchises for nearly 75 years, suddenly had none. Enter a lawyer by the name of William Shea, who was so determined to bring the NL back to NYC that he decided to create a whole damn league to get one there. (MLB had no interest in expansion at the time, so this was seen as the best way to get another baseball team in the city. Beats having to root for the Yankees, I guess.)

By 1959, Shea, in partnership with baseball legend Branch Rickey, had rounded up a bunch of owners for proposed teams in various cities such as Denver, Buffalo, Minneapolis, Houston, Toronto, and yes, New York City. This new Continental League sought to work with Major League Baseball as opposed to competing with it, and putting franchises where no other Major League club currently existed seemed the least likely to rock the boat with the established behemoth.

Well, the baseball owners were totally on board with this proposal. Then, completely out of the blue, they announced that four new teams would be coming to MLB, two in the American League and two in the National League. Despite the fact that they had been very resistant to expansion beforehand and hadn't expanded properly since the formation of the American League nearly six decades earlier.

The NL offered two Continental League ownership groups in Houston and New York City Major League clubs of their own. And since all Shea wanted was for New York City to have an NL franchise again, he pretty much abandoned his idea of the Continental League once that came to be.

The Continental League disbanded before signing any players or playing a single game. But it did push MLB to expand against their will (which would lead to four more franchises by 1969, increasing MLB's ranks by 50% from a decade earlier). It also inadvertently led to the formation of the American Football League, since Bob Howsman, the owner of what would've been the CL's Denver franchise, expanded his stadium to house a Major League team and desperately needed a pro tenant, leading to the founding of the Broncos, which I went over previously.

Back to the Mets proper. The name "Mets" was chosen as the team's name as a shortened version of its corporate name: New York Metropolitan Baseball Club, Inc. Blue and orange were chosen as the team's colors as a nod to the departed Dodgers and Giants. The Mets played in the Polo Grounds (where the Giants had played for much of their history) for their first two seasons as their new stadium was being built. And in honor of the man who spearheaded the NL coming back to New York City, the new ballpark was named Shea Stadium.

The Mets played at Shea for 45 seasons, winning their two championships and accumulating all their playoff appearances before this season in the Stadium. They moved to Citi Field in 2009 (Shea Stadium was demolished soon after the 2008 season), which as a further nod to the departed New York NL teams, bares a striking resemblance to old Ebbets Field.

Greatest Runs



The Amazin' Mets (1969-1973): After years of futility, the Mets finally began to contend. They started the 1969 season 18-23, but then went an astounding 82-39 for the rest of the year, good for a record of 100-62 and securing the first playoff berth in team history (with a huge assist from the Chicago Cubs, who had one of the worst collapses in their history that season).

The Mets swept the Atlanta Braves in three games in the inaugural NLCS. And in the 1969 World Series, they beat the Baltimore Orioles in five games in one of the biggest upsets in World Series history. After '69, the team had three-straight 83 win seasons before winning their second NL East title and making it to the World Series for the second time in five years in 1973. They lost to the juggernaut Oakland A's of the early 70s, but, still, this was pretty good for a team that was abominably bad a few years earlier.

Bad Guys Win Hard (1984-1989): Starting in 1980, the Mets began to make a series of great moves and hires that culminated in a half decade of winning baseball. The 80s Mets were utterly dominant— from 1984 to 1988, they won 488 games, the most in the Majors and 17 more than the second-place Detroit Tigers.

Unsurprisingly, all that winning led to the postseason. The Mets had two appearances in the NLCS in three years and won their second World Series in 1986, defeating the Boston Red Sox in 7 games. Game 6 of the '86 Series is one of the most famous games in baseball history; the Mets came back from a 3-0 deficit in an elimination game, culminating with Mookie Wilson hitting a grounder that went through Red Sox first baseman Bill Buckner's legs, sealing the game for the Mets.

Great At the Turn of the Century (1998-2001): The Mets returned to postseason glory, going to two straight NLCS and one World Series, all without winning a single division title (this was during the 11-year stretch where the Atlanta Braves had a stranglehold on the NL East). The Mets lost to the New York Yankees in the 2000 Series, the first World Series between two New York teams since 1956.

That was it for them as contenders, but there was one special moment to come after that: the Mets played the Braves in Shea Stadium on September 21, 2001— the first game played in New York City since 9/11. Mets catcher Mike Piazza hit a home run in the bottom of the eighth inning, effectively winning the game for them, to thunderous cheers. It's cited as one of the greatest moments in baseball history.

The Time (But Not Really) (2005-2008): By 2005, the Mets were suddenly brimming with talent. Thanks to nailing free agent signings with awesome (and now hall of fame) pitchers Pedro Martinez and Tom Glavine as well as center fielder Carlos Beltran, to go along with promising young talent in David Wright and Jose Reyes, the 2005 Mets secured their first winning season since 2001.

The Mets struck further gold that offseason, trading for Carlos Delgato and Billy Wagner, and signing Mike Piazza's replacement Paul Lo Duca. This new core of players shot the Mets to a 97-66 record, their best since 1999, and finally unseating the Atlanta Braves from the NL East title (it was the Mets' first division title since 1988). They swept the Dodgers in the NLDS, and took the eventual-World Series champion St. Louis Cardinals to seven games in the NLCS. The future certainly seemed bright for these Mets.

But it wasn't to be. While the Mets remained a contender and always threatened to win the division, they frittered away their chances in the final days of both the 2007 and 2008 seasons. The 2007 season was particularly cruel, as the Mets had a seven-game lead over the rival Philadelphia Phillies with 17 to go. The Phillies going on an extended winning streak at the same time as the Mets lost 12 of their final 17 caused the Mets to unceremoniously bow out of the division race and the playoffs.

But the team was still good, so that's why this isn't in the "bad" part of Mets history. With the Mets, you often have to take absurd euphoria with crushing disappointment.

Leanest Years


The Loveable Losers (1962-1966): Following the usual initial fate of expansion teams, the Mets sucked when they took the field for the first time. But that's underselling things a bit— the team went 40-120 in their inaugural season in 1962. Only the 1899 Cleveland Spiders lost more games in a single season in baseball history. The 1962 Mets' winning percentage of .250 is third-worst since 1901. And they weren't much better in the next few seasons either. They had four-straight 100-loss seasons to start out, tying a modern era record for futility.

Why were they so bad? One of the main reasons is that instead of signing promising young players to start with, the team signed veteran players who had spent significant time with the Dodgers and Giants when they were still in New York in order to play on fans' nostalgia. Of course, by this time, those same players who had been great years earlier were now closer to retirement than not, and thus weren't exactly in prime baseball condition, contributing to the Mets' woeful first few seasons.

The Midnight Massacre (1977-1982): So your owner has died, her family doesn't really share their late relative's "giving a damn" mentality about the team, and you are in a messy contract dispute with two star players. What could go wrong? Just about everything. The Mets traded away Tom Seaver and Dave Kingman, the aforementioned star players, and got six players in return. None of the players came close to matching either Seaver or Kingman's production, and the Mets wallowed in the mire of bad teams and poor attendance for much of this run.

The Worst Team Money Could Buy (Late 80s, 1990-1993): You'll notice that this era overlaps with the 1986 World Series win. A great number of players had severe drug and alcohol problems. Management and coaches turned a blind eye for a long time until things went downhill fast.

By the time the 90s started, the Mets were a freebased shell of their World Series selves. Poor moves, scandals and washed up former stars made up the Mets of the early 90s, the low point coming in 1993 when they lost more than 100 games for the first time since 1967.

Vince Coleman personally won the douchebag in sports MVP in 1993 when in two separate incidents, he injured Dwight Gooden's shoulder when Colman was practicing his golf swing in the dugout (with a golf club in an enclosed space mind you), and threw a lit firecracker into the stands at Dodger Stadium, injuring three people. No good.

Suckage in the Citi (2009-2014): The Mets became an absolute shell of themselves after the move to Citi Field. In the years following the move, Jose Reyes and Carlos Beltran were acrimoniously traded away, general manager Omar Minaya fired people in the crappiest manner possible, and the team wallowed in irrelevance, not necessarily in that order.

The Mets finished 20 or more games back in the NL East four times in these six seasons, and the best they did was finish 17 games back and technically in second in 2014 (they had the same 79-83 record as the Braves, but won the season series). There's nothing to really expand upon. They were a bad team that couldn't hit worth a damn, though they did have awesome pitching prospects, which we'll get to later.

Names You Should Know


Casey Stengel: The manager for the great New York Yankees teams from 1949 to 1960 which won 7 World Series and 10 pennants. Stengel was fired after the 1960 season, but was coaxed out of retirement to become the first manager in New York Mets history. Stengel's Mets tenure... um... didn't go as well as his Yankees stay, to put it mildly.

Stengel was approximately 1,000 years old at the time of his hiring, and as mentioned above, the team was atrocious. However, the team was still beloved in New York thanks in no large part to Stengel's charisma and ability to utter a great quote. He had his number retired by the Mets in 1965, the first person to receive that honor for the team, and was inducted into the hall of fame in 1966.


Ed Kranepool: An inaugural Met. Kranepool was called up at the ripe age of 17 and spent his entire 18-year career with the Mets. He wasn't a great hitter (in nearly 6,000 plate appearances, he hit .261/.316/.377). He wasn't a particularly good defender. He wasn't very fast (Stengel once quipped that Kranepool was a 17-year-old that ran like a 30-year-old). And he was worth only 4.4 wins above replacement in his career which, again, lasted 18 years.

Still, Kranepool was a constant on the Mets from its very beginnings until the dying days of Disco. He was there for when they were historically bad, when they were a World Series winning and contending team, and when they went right back to being terrible again. That must count for something, right?


Cleon Jones: Another early Met. Jones was a mostly-light-hitting outfielder that didn't strike out a lot. But he had an incredible season in 1969, hitting .340 with a .904 OPS while stealing 16 bases and making the All-Star Game. It was far and away the best season of his career. While he was mostly a non-factor in the World Series, Jones totally ate the Braves' lunch in the 1969 NLCS, hitting .429/.467/.789 with two stolen bases and a home run. Jones also played well in the entire 1973 postseason. Pretty good career all in all.


Tom Seaver: Tom Terrific! Seaver is one of the greatest pitchers in baseball history. He won the 1967 NL Rookie of the Year. He won three Cy Young awards while finishing in the top 5 in the voting an additional five times. He led the league in strikeouts five times, while leading in ERA three times and was a 12 time All-Star.

He ranks sixth all-time in strikeouts, pitched 61 shutouts (seventh all-time), and when he made it into the Hall of Fame in 1992, he was on an astounding 98.8% of the ballots, the most in history. Dear God! He's also the only hall-of-famer who was inducted as a member of the Mets and is the only player to have his number retired by the club.


Jerry Koosman: While Seaver was the ace of the Mets, Jerry Koosman was an excellent second option (all while a young Nolan Ryan diddled around on the bench loved by no one). Koosman made two-straight All-Star Games and spent 12 of his 19 Major League seasons with the Mets. He had a 3.09 ERA in New York, and accumulated over 2,500 strikeouts when it was all said and done. And he was damn-near unstoppable in the '69 World Series, tallying up nine strikeouts, a 2.04 ERA and an 0.623 WHIP in 17.2 innings across two games.


Darryl Strawberry: For a guy who never lived up to his potential, he sure had a damn great career. The number one overall pick in the 1980 and the 1983 NL Rookie of the Year, Strawberry was one of the biggest hitters of the 80s, both literally and figuratively. Strawberry hit between 26 and 39 home runs every year during his Mets tenure. Shockingly, he's the Mets' all time leader in home runs. In fact, he's still in the top two in numerous offensive categories for the Mets.

Strawberry was a major player in the great Mets teams of the late 80s that won two division titles and one World Series (he finished second in the NL MVP voting in 1988). Despite his offensive prowess, Strawberry had numerous run ins with the law, mostly pertaining to his drug use and his myriad of other issues.


Keith Hernandez: A star for the St. Louis Cardinals in the 70s and early 80s, Hernandez won the 1979 NL MVP (sharing it with Willie Stargell of the Pirates) and playing the hero in the Cards' 1982 World Series win. But he fell into the Mets' lap in 1983, thanks to having a previous addiction to cocaine (he later testified in the Pittsburgh Drug Trials) and for Whitey Herzog hating him.

It paid off for the Mets. Hernandez was the captain for those great late-80s teams and won five of his eleven Gold Glove awards in New York. He also finished in the top five of the NL MVP voting twice and is in the top ten in numerous offensive categories in Mets history. Thank God Herzog took umbrage with his effort level, or the Mets may have not been as dominant as they were.


Davey Johnson: The manager of those 80s Mets. Johnson was known for his easygoing managing style, letting his players do their own thing so long as they were productive on the field. If you haven't noticed, lots of Mets players had major drug issues under his run. Just sayin'. But Johnson was a great manager, accumulating the most wins in Mets history and the second most postseason wins in Mets history. Fun fact: Johnson is one of ten managers in history to get his teams to at least five LCS (beyond his two with the Mets, he got the Reds to the 1995 NLCS and the Orioles to back-to-back ALCS in 1996 and 1997).


Dwight Gooden: Doctor K! Possibly the best and most entertaining pitcher on Mets teams stocked full of great and entertaining pitchers. Gooden ranks second in wins and strikeouts and third in games started and complete games among Mets pitchers.

Gooden, and please temper your surprise, had a debilitating drug problem. While all of the Mets players with drug issues were tragic to a degree, Gooden's problems ruined perhaps the most promising young career on the Mets at the time. He would likely have put up hall of fame caliber numbers had he never had these issues or got them under control early. He's perhaps the ultimate what-could-have-been not just in Mets history, but baseball history as a whole.


Gary Carter: Kid! Although his best years came as a member of the Montreal Expos, Carter was still a good player for the Mets. Shockingly, in comparison to many of his teammates, Carter kept his nose clean while in New York. Carter was astoundingly durable in his career, catching in 90% of his teams' games five times. He was an exuberant force and one of the greatest catchers in baseball history. He was inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame in 2003.


Howard Johnson: HoJo! Johnson turned himself into maybe the second-best power hitter on the team after Darryl Strawberry, averaging 31.4 home runs from 1987 to 1991. He currently ranks fourth in Mets history with 192 home runs. While he disappeared whenever the playoffs began (he had a batting line of .038/.074/.038 in 11 postseason games), Johnson was still a good player, making two All-Star Games (both with the Mets) and earning top-10 MVP votes in three seasons.


John Franco: The Mets all time saves leader. Franco was one of the greatest relief pitchers in history, ranking up 424 saves in his career, the fourth most in history and the most ever by a left-hander. Franco led the NL in saves three times (twice with the Mets). He also served as team captain from 2001-2004 and played in more games than any other Mets pitcher.


Mike Piazza: Another great Mets catcher. Piazza was perhaps the greatest hitting catcher of all time, which more than made up for the fact that he was a pretty pedestrian defender. He hit over .300 nine different times in his career, including an astounding .362 in 1997 when he was with the Dodgers. He won the NL Rookie of the Year award in 1993, also with the Dodgers. He is one of three players in Mets history to hit at least 200 home runs with the club and he won five of his ten Silver Slugger awards and went to seven of his twelve All-Star selections during his Mets stay.


Jose Reyes: The greatest shortstop in team history and one of the best in the NL for nearly all of his Mets tenure. Reyes hit .292/.341/.441 in his nine seasons with the Mets, great numbers for a shortstop. He led the NL or MLB as a whole in stolen bases in three-straight seasons (swiping at least 60 per season in the process). His 370 stolen bases are the most in team history and nearly 90 more than second-place Mookie Wilson. And Reyes was also a pretty good defender as he made four All-Star Games. While he didn't part on the best of terms and he's declined something fierce in recent years, he should still hold a special place in the hearts of fans.


Carlos Beltran: A great power-hitter for the mid-00s Mets and the best center fielder in team history (unless a certain someone below isn't resigned and/or doesn't play well in years to come). Beltran smacked 149 home runs in his seven seasons in Met Land, and in most seasons walked almost as much as he struck out (in 2009, he walked more than struck out). Five of his six All-Star Game appearances came as a Met.

Beltran also left under contentious circumstances (the Mets also did their damnedest to smear his name on the way out). But come on, he's one of the best players in franchise history. Here's some awesome things he did as a Met. Read it and appreciate it.

Five Current Guys You Should Know


David Wright: The current face of the franchise. Wright has been one of the few consistently great bright spots on the Mets roster over the last decade, becoming perhaps the greatest position player in team history. He has batted over .300 in eight seasons (six of those with over 600 plate appearances), had over 160 hits in seven seasons, hit 25 or more home runs in five seasons, and played in at least 90% of the possible games in six seasons. He is also in the top 5 at least in almost every major offensive category in Mets history and is the leader in a sizable chunk of them. In short he's really, really good and (hopefully) will wind up in Cooperstown one day.


Matt Harvey: In my original article, I said that Harvey was THE great Mets pitcher. Since then, the Mets have called up enough promising pitchers that they're being favorably compared to the 90s Braves (by a 90s Brave!). But don't discount Harvey. He's already made an All-Star Game, has an ERA around 2.50 and a WHIP close to 1.000. In short, he's still awesome, even after coming off Tommy John surgery.


Wilmer Flores: The best non-trade the Mets have made in years, if not ever. Flores was nearly traded to the Brewers in exchange for Carlos Gomez. He was left in the game as this news was trickling out, and he famously cried on the field as it was happening. Obviously, this was a terrible lack of communication on the part of GM Sandy Alderson, but the trade fell through and the Mets kept Flores while getting a much better player later (see below).

While Flores has only been about a .250 hitter with a sub-300 OBP and a sub-400 slugging percentage in his career so far, he had himself a hell of a two-month stretch after he wept. He went .299/.330/.379 in July and was even better in August with a line of .306/.337/.506. While he's cooled off since then, Flores remains a great story on a team currently full of them.


Jacob deGrom: Just one of the several promising, young pitchers in the Mets rotation. deGrom has already marked his territory in the Majors, winning the 2014 NL Rookie of the Year Award after striking out 144 batters, accumulating a 2.69 ERA, and posting a Field Independent Pitching (FIP) two points lower than his ERA (THAT'S GOOD!).

He made his first All-Star Game this year and showed his dominance by striking out the AL side in his one inning of work. While it's unreasonable to think he'll win the Cy Young Award this year (he plays in the same League as Clayton Kershaw, Zack Greinke and Jake Arrieta), he's sure to get in the conversation one day if he keeps up his stellar play.


Yoenis Cespedes: The man the Mets finally traded for after muffing on both Carlos Gomez and Jay Bruce. And boy has he paid off. Cespedes has hit .287/.337/.604 with 35 extra-base hits (17 home runs) and four stolen bases in five attempts. He's played so well, in fact, that some people were banging the drum that he should be NL MVP in 2015. These people are crazy. But Cespedes has been simply wonderful since coming to New York and will hopefully be locked up for many years to come this offseason.

***

That's all. Enjoy the postseason.

Thursday, September 10, 2015

A BRIEF HISTORY OF... THE NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Football is back tonight, and to celebrate, let's take a look at the history of the reigning champions: the New England Patriots.



Starting Up: We briefly went over the development of the American Football League when I profiled the Denver Broncos. All you need to know here is that the eight-team league had only seven teams set on November 15, 1959. The following day, Billy Sullivan, a newspaper man who also had ties to the oil industry, was awarded the eighth and final team for the startup league, after paying a whopping $25,000 entry fee.

Sullivan's road to pro-football ownership was similar to inaugural Broncos owner Bob Howsman's path, though Sullivan inadvertently left more bodies in his wake.

Sullivan tried to get a meeting with the NFL about putting a team in Boston. Then-commissioner Bert Bell said he'd get Sullivan a meeting. Then Bell died before the meeting could take place. Undeterred, Sullivan then requested a meeting with then-New York Giants owner Tim Mara. Then Mara died.

Admittedly, that's a great story, but there's no way it can be true. Bell died in October 1959; Mara had been dead since February that year. Every story I found repeated the same thing— Sullivan requested a meeting, Bell died, Sullivan requested another meeting, Mara died— but that obviously can't be true, at least not in that order (unless Sullivan was really dumb and didn't realize one of the most influential owners in the NFL had been dead for eight months).

What definitely happened was that the NFL decided to pass on Boston for an expansion team. In the prior 40 years, the NFL had put at least three teams in Boston at different points, and all of them either relocated or folded outright. So the owners of the late 50s weren't exactly keen on putting a team in a city which historically, they felt, couldn't sustain a team.

After the NFL's rejection and the death of anyone at all sympathetic to his cause, Sullivan went to the upstart AFL, which obviously accepted him. The name "Patriots" was chosen through a fan contest. And their original Pat the Patriot logo was drawn up in under an hour. Here it is if you're curious:




The Patriots had the distinction of playing in the very first AFL game ever. They were the first home team in an AFL game and lost to the Denver Broncos 13-10. The Patriots were obviously accepted into the NFL in time for the 1970 season, along with the other nine AFL teams, and were placed in the AFC East Division where they've been ever since.

One final note— In 1971, the team changed its name to the New England Patriots due to moving into Foxborough Stadium full time. Since they weren't playing in Boston proper anymore and were close to the Rhode Island boarder, the team decided to rebrand themselves as the entire New England region's team (after unsuccessfully trying to become the Bay State Patriots, which the NFL rejected, presumably, because Bay State Patriots is a really shitty name). To date, the Patriots are the only team in the four major sports that has a geographic region in its name and not a proper city (though the Hartford Whalers were the New England Whalers when they played in the WHA, but dropped it upon admission into the NHL in 1979).

Greatest Runs


One of the Better AFL Teams (1961-1966): After a rocky first season-and-a-half, the Patriots became a pretty good team under head coach Mike Holovak. After going 2-3 under Lou Saban in 1961, Holovak coached the Patriots to a 7-1-1 record the rest of the way, good for a 9-4-1 record and second place in the Eastern Division.

The Patriots in this stretch only finished lower than second once (in 1965, their only losing season during this time). They even made the playoffs in 1963, defeating the Buffalo Bills in a tiebreaker game (they each finished with identical 7-6-1 records) to reach the AFL Championship game against the San Diego Chargers (the Patriots got smashed 51-10).

The Patriots' winning percentage of 61.8 in these five seasons was second-best in the Eastern Division behind the Buffalo Bills, and third-best in the AFL as a whole. They were a good team that pushed for the playoffs far more often than they didn't, which is nothing to sneeze at, especially considering most of the team's later struggles.

Sustained Success (1976-1988): Obviously the big moment in this chunk is that the Patriots improbably made it to Super Bowl XX after the 1985 season. They even beat their much more heavily favored division rival, the Miami Dolphins, in the AFC Championship Game. It was also the Patriots' first win in Miami since 1970. Of course, considering their 46-10 thrashing by the Bears was the most lopsided loss in the Super Bowl to that point, maybe they don't want to remember that.

In this 13 season span, the Patriots went to the playoffs five times, won two division titles and had just one losing season. Plus they won 113 games, as many as the Steelers in that stretch and behind only the Broncos, Dolphins and Raiders in the AFC.

The Bill Parcells/Bill Belichick Era (1994-Present): Even though these are non-consecutive coaching stints, I'm lumping them together since Belichick was on Parcells' staff in 1996.

The Patriots have been one of the most successful teams in the NFL over the last 20 years. They've gone to seven Super Bowls and won four. They were the first team to win three Super Bowls in three years by winning in 2002, 2004 and 2005. And it all started with the hiring of Parcells, whom actually developed a sense of accountability and stability in his four years on the job.

While Parcells developed that culture, Belichick expanded it and perfected it. Since Belichick took over as head coach, the Patriots have won 175 games, by far the most in the NFL since 2000 (by comparison, the Colts are second with 160 wins in that same span). Granted, there have been numerous accusations of cheating, but you don't win 175 games through skulduggery alone.

Leanest Years


Kicked Around in Both Leagues (1967-1975): The final years in the AFL weren't pretty for the Patriots. The team had gotten older and lost its luster. Holovak was fired after the 1968 season and the Patriots could only muster 11 wins in their final three AFL seasons.

Things didn't improve upon going to the NFL. They finished with a 2-12 record in 1970, the worst record in the league and the worst mark in Patriots history to that point. The Pats drafted USC quarterback Jim Plunkett with the number one overall pick in the 1971 NFL Draft. But after a somewhat-promising rookie year, Plunkett shit the bed hard, throwing 71 interceptions to just 43 touchdowns in his next four seasons.

In the six seasons following the AFL-NFL merger, the Patriots mustered a pitiful 26-58 record. Only the Saints had a worse winning percentage. When a team is comparable in any way to the 70s Saints, that's no good.

A Complete Disaster (1989-1993): The Patriots fell hard in the late 80s, thanks to a series of poor investments on the part of the Sullivan family. Did you know that Michael Jackson greatly impacted the fortunes of Patriots? You do now!

Billy Sullivan's son Chuck was the heir apparent to the football team in the mid-80s, but in 1984 he also had a job as the promoter of Michael Jackson's Victory Tour. It was a big deal, because it was being promoted as the final tour Jackson would go on with his brothers, whom he had found initial success with as a child as part of the Jackson 5.

Well things didn't go well. Chuck Sullivan routinely made an ass out of himself and butted heads with Jackson non-stop. When Sullivan was finally fired by Jackson and replaced with boxing promoter Don King, Sullivan had somehow lost over $22 million, roughly the family's net worth at the time.

Not helped by this was that Sullivan used the stadium (named Sullivan Stadium at the time) as collateral during the promotion. So after the fuck up with the Jackson family, the Sullivan family was in a financial hole and so was the damn stadium.

Even with the Super Bowl berth in 1985, the Patriots' financial picture was grim. Billy Sullivan finally was forced to sell the team in 1988 to Remington Products CEO Victor Kiam for $84 million.

Oh yeah! What about the team? Well, thanks to the above mentioned financial difficulties, it wasn't doing too well. By Sullivan's last year as principal owner, he need a $4 million dollar loan from the NFL just so he could actually pay his players. By 1989, everything went to shit and the Patriots finished 5-11, their worst record since 1981.

But as bad as 1989 was, 1990 would be much, much worse. Amid a horrid season where they finished with the worst record in team history, 1-15, the team embroiled itself in a sexual harassment scandal. Boston Herald reporter Lisa Olsen was treated to naked players viciously demanding she eat their dicks, while also making lewd gestures in her face in the locker room. Kiam, ever the diplomat, dismissed these actions since Olsen was being, to use his words, a "classic bitch."

Naturally, this caused a shit storm. The league fined the team $50,000 and induvidually fined Zeke Mowatt, Michael Timpson and Robert Perryman various respective sums. But the team's biggest punishment was in the form of a lawsuit brought on by Olsen, which was eventually settled for $250,000.

A year later, Kiam himself was in financial difficulties and sold the team to St. Louis businessman James Orthwein, a relative of the massively-rich Busch family. Orthwein's most notable action in his two seasons owning the Patriots was trying and failing to move the team to St. Louis.

In all, with the team going through three embarrassing ownership groups in less than six years and being terrible on the field, the Patriots went a league worst 19-61 from 1989 to 1993.

Pete Carroll's Wild Ride (1997-1999): I know this is technically in the 1994-Present era I said is so awesome, but the three seasons between Bill Parcells and Bill Belichick were a progressive shift downward for the franchise after coming off their Super Bowl XXXI loss. Bill Parcells left the team after Robert Kraft refused to grant him any control over the roster's construction, and his leaving became a very public distraction before the team played in the Super Bowl that year.

To replace the controlling and surly Parcells, Kraft hired then-San Francisco 49ers defensive coordinator Pete Carroll. Carroll had been a head coach once before, a one-season stint with the New York Jets where they went 6-10. Carroll fared markedly better in Foxborough, but the Patriots slowly declined under his watch. They went 10-6 and won the AFC East in 1997 and went 1-1 in the playoffs, went 9-7 and one-and-done in the playoffs in 1998, and finally missed the playoffs entirely by going 8-8 and finishing last in the AFC East in 1999. Even worse, the team started 6-2 in 1999 and went 2-6 the rest of the way.

Carroll definitely deserves a bit of blame for how that all unfolded. But the front office also deserves scorn. And if Robert Kraft just let Bill Parcells have a say in the roster's construction, none of this may have happened in the first place. The result was a team slowly getting worse from both bad drafting and curious free agency moves (or non moves in the case of Curtis Martin) (and none of which were Carroll's decisions thanks to Kraft still not letting his head coach have a say in player personnel), and the existing roster getting old or not producing, or both.

Names You Should Know


Larry Eisenhauer: One of the best early players for the Patriots. Eisenhauer was an accomplished defender, being named 1st Team All-Pro in three-straight years. And on a team that was noted for having a bunch of characters on it, Eisenhauer may have been the biggest, and possibly the most insane. He'd bang his head against metal lockers and run out into the snow with just his helmet on.

Eisenhauer only played nine seasons, all for the Patriots and all in the AFL, but he is still one of only 23 players to have made at least four Pro Bowls (or their AFL equivalent) with the Patriots.


Nick Buoniconti: Perhaps the greatest middle linebacker in team history. Buoniconti was a key player on the early 70s Dolphins teams that wreaked havoc on the league and went 17-0 in 1972. But Buoniconti's best seasons were as a Patriot.

Five of his eight Pro Bowl/All Star selections and four of his five 1st Team All-Pro selections came during his time in Boston (and the four All-Pro selections were in a row from 1964 to 1967). While Buoniconti played before defensive stats were reliably kept, his durability shows up well. He played all but seven games as a Patriot, with the seven misses all coming in his last two seasons with the team.

He was inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame in 2001.


Jim Nance: NOT the announcer. Nance was, for a brief time, one of the finest running backs in the AFL. He led the league in rushing in consecutive seasons in 1966 and 1967, and also ran in 11 touchdowns in 1966, also a league-high that season. Nance has the distinction of being the only running back in AFL history to post back-to-back 1,000+ yard seasons. Nance is fourth all-time in rushing yards in AFL history with 4,338 yards, and still ranks second all-time in Patriots history with 5,323 yards.


John Hanah: One of the greatest guards in the history of the game. Hannah missed just eight games in his 13-year career. He went to ten Pro Bowls and was named 1st Team All-Pro seven times in a ten-year period from 1976 to his final season in 1985. He has the distinction of being one of the few modern-day guards to be elected to the Pro Football Hall of Fame in his first year of eligibility (in 1991, becoming the first Patriots player to be so honored). His number 73 was also retired by the team.


Steve Grogan: Despite never making the Pro Bowl, or frankly being very good, Grogan remains a favorite for Pats fans due to his grit, which many people in the northeast lose their shit over. Grogan was often injured, having numerous surgeries over his 16-year career. Yet he played a lot, specifically in his younger years. Notably, they tried to replace him numerous times, but he always seemed to wriggle his way back onto the field when his replacements couldn't cut it (he played in most of the Patriots' Super Bowl XX loss to the Bears, despite Tony Eason starting the game). So good for you, cagey, old Steve Grogan— you did good.


Mike Haynes: Haynes was one of the premier corners of his era. He started strong, intercepting eight passes in his first season. He won Defensive Rookie of the Year in 1976 and also gained 608 yards on punt returns along with two touchdowns (Haynes was the first Patriots player to ever score a touchdown via punt return). Haynes recorded 28 interceptions and gained 1,159 yards on punt returns in his seven seasons with the Patriots, to go along with six Pro Bowl selections. He was inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame in 1997 and his number 40 was retired by the team.


Andre Tippett: A tremendous and underrated linebacker. Tippett spent his entire 12-year career with the Patriots and earned five-straight Pro Bowl berths from 1984 to 1988 and two 1st Team All-Pro selections in 1985 and 1987. Tippett recorded a stunning 35 sacks in two seasons from 1984 to 1985, a record for linebackers in a two-season stretch. He recorded a clean 100 sacks for his career (a team record), one of only four linebackers to reach triple-digit sacks during the length of his career. And to top it all off, Tippett held a fourth-degree black belt in karate in his playing days (he's since earned a six-degree black belt). He was elected to the Pro Football Hall of Fame in 2008.


Irving Fryar: The number one overall pick in the 1984 NFL Draft. While Fryar never quite lived up to the expectations foisted upon number one picks, he was a decent enough receiver, catching 363 passes for 38 touchdowns in his nine-year stay with the Patriots. Fryar had many off-field issues, namely drugs, but also infamously had his hand slashed by his pregnant wife during a domestic dispute (he had to miss the AFC Championship Game as a result of the injury). But then he found God and things were fine. Of course, he was recently convicted due to his involvement in a mortgage scam, of which he faces at least 10 years in prison.


Bruce Armstrong: Armstrong played for the Patriots from 1987 to 2000. Given what happened in those years, he must have seen some really fucked up shit in his day. He played his entire career with the Patriots, going to six Pro Bowls in eight years. Immensely durable, Armstrong played a full-16-game schedule in 12 of his 14 seasons, missing only 11 games of a possible 223. No offensive lineman in team history has started more games than Bruce Armstrong. His number 78 was retired by the team.


Ben Coates: A great tight end in his era. During his ten year career, no other tight end caught more touchdown passes (50) than Coates, and only Shannon Sharpe caught more passes and gained more receiving yards. Coates went to five-straight Pro Bowls from 1994 to 1998 and was the 1st Team All-Pro tight end in back-to-back years from 1994 to 1995. Coates is still one of the more prolific tight ends in Patriots history, though unless something goes terribly wrong, all his records will eventually broken by Rob Gronkowski (Gronk has already caught four more touchdown passes than Coates).


Drew Bledsoe: Everyone forgets now, since Bledsoe is most famous today for being usurped by Tom Brady, but Bleadsoe was actually a really, really good quarterback in his prime. He was so good, in fact, that the normally quarterback-conservative Bill Parcells let Bledsoe throw the ball all over Christ creation. From 1994 to 1996, Bledsoe threw 1,950 passes and led the league in pass attempts those three seasons. From his rookie season in 1993 to his final Pro Bowl season with the Patriots (of three) in 1997, he threw 108 touchdowns and for over 18,000 yards.

Now granted, he did turn the ball over a lot— he threw 88 interceptions during that same five-year period, and threw more INTs than TDs three times as a Patriot (leading the league in 1994 with a whopping 27). But compared to the other mountains of wet cardboard passing for quarterbacks the Patriots had used to that point, he was freaking Brett Favre. He just happened to be replaced by Aaron Rodgers.


Ty Law: One of the finest defensive backs in Patriots history. Law went to four Pro Bowls and was twice named 1st Team All-Pro. He's tied with Raymond Clayborn for intercepting the most passes in team history with 36. He tacked on another 17 interceptions after the Patriots cut him before the 2005 season for 53 in his career, the most by a cornerback during the length of his career and second behind only Darren Sharper as far as all defensive backs were concerned. Unlike many cornerbacks, Law was a good tackler, racking up 539 in his Patriots career, the most by a defensive back in team history.


Tedy Bruschi: A cornerstone at middle linebacker for the Patriots for over a decade. Bruschi only made one Pro Bowl in his career and his numbers don't pop off a stat sheet. But Bruschi had those valuable intangibles like leadership and accountability that made the defense into one of the best of the 2000s. Also, he came back from a potentially-debilitating stroke to play for another four seasons and in another Super Bowl, which is pretty damn awesome.


Adam Vinatieri: You could argue that Adam Vinatieri was the most important player for the Patriots when they won three Super Bowls in four years. The Patriots won all three of their Super Bowls in the 2000s by three points— obviously, the same number of points a team gets by making a field goal. Their victories in both Super Bowl XXXVI and Super Bowl XXXVIII were effectively walk-offs— with Vinatieri kicking 40+ yard field goals in the final seconds of regulation (and kicking another key fourth-quarter field goal in Super Bowl XXXIX).

While he's obviously most well known for his Super Bowl heroics, Vinatieri was also a damn good kicker. He still is— he was named 1st Team All-Pro this past season, a full decade after his last such nomination (three in all). He's one of the most accurate kickers in pro football history with an 83.7 conversion rate in 571 attempts, trailing only Phil Dawson in highest field goal percentage with at least 400 field goal attempts.


Vince Wilfork: A mountain of a man and, arguably, the best defensive player the Patriots drafted in the last decade plus. Wilfork went to five Pro Bowls in six years and was named 1st Team All-Pro in 2012. His stay with the Patriots, which ended this offseason when he signed with the Houston Texans, was bookended by Super Bowl wins. He was a suffocating defensive presence that wreaked havoc on opposing run games and, occasionally, quarterbacks. If there is any post-2004 defensive player for the Patriots that is worthy of making it into the hall of fame one day, it's Wilfork.

Five Current Guys You Should Know


Bill Belichick: The greatest coach of his generation. Working under Bill Parcells for the better part of 20 years (coaching everything from linebackers, defensive backs and special teams, to being the defensive coordinator for the Giants when they won two Super Bowls in the late-80s and early-90s), Belichick had a mostly forgettable stint as head coach of the Cleveland Browns in the 90s, but completely remade himself as head coach of the Patriots.

Going into his 16th season with the team, the Belichick-coached Patriots have had only one losing season (his first in 2000) and missed the playoffs just three times. He was the first (and to date, only) coach in history to win three Super Bowls in four years.

In all, the Patriots have made it to nine AFC Championship Games, seven Super Bowls and won four under his watch. Including his stay with Cleveland, Belichick has won 211 games, sixth-most in history (and is one of only seven coaches to reach 200 wins). He also has won more playoff games than any other coach in history with 22 under his belt. And he's tied with Chuck Noll for the most Super Bowl wins by a coach in history.


Tom Brady: Let's start off with what every Tom Brady profile starts on— that he was drafted in the sixth round of the 2000 NFL Draft, 199th overall. You can look at his career and wonder how that was possible, but it's very clear he fell that far because he looked like this:



Now not to be rude, but on that day in the summer of 2000, young Tom Brady looked like you. Yes, you reading this right now. Certainly not an NFL-caliber quarterback. But to his credit, Brady eventually put what can only be described as muscle on  his body and everything worked out when Mo Lewis nearly killed Drew Bleadsoe.

It can be argued that Brady benefited a great deal from the Patriots being a genuinely good team in his first few seasons, and to a degree you'd be right. But since 2007, he has unambiguously been one of the greatest quarterbacks in the history of the game.

Since he entered a season as the unquestioned starter, Brady has thrown at least twice as many touchdowns as interceptions (the ratio was often far greater than two to one). He's led the league in touchdowns three times and thrown 30+ five times. He has thrown for over 50,000 yards, thrown nearly 400 touchdowns, and has a career completion percentage of 63.5. Factor in his ten Pro Bowls and two 1st Team All-Pro selections and his four Super Bowl wins, and Brady is in the upper echelon of quarterbacks, and Canton bound to boot.


Rob Gronkowski: Gronk! A delightful, exuberant, and occasionally drunken force, Gronkowski has made his presence known quite frequently in NFL games. As discussed earlier, he has already passed Ben Coates' team marks for touchdowns by a tight end with 54, and is on the precipice of shattering Coates' other records as well. Since coming into the league in 2010, only Jimmy Graham has scored more touchdowns or gained more yards than Gronk, and he is fourth in receptions behind Graham, Jason Witten and Greg Olsen. And with three Pro Bowls and two 1st Team All-Pro selections to his name already, Gronk's not going away any time soon. Good. Anyone who does not love Rob Gronkowski is someone I'd rather not know.


Chandler Jones: A fine pass rusher, Jones has recorded 23.5 sacks in his first three seasons, recording 11.5 in 2013. While he hasn't made a Pro Bowl yet, he has been, unquestionably, one of the best defensive players for the Patriots since his arrival in 2012. Sports run in Jones' family— his brother Arthur is a defensive lineman for the Colts, and his other brother is former UFC Light-Heavyweight Champion Jon "Bones" Jones. And he went to Syracuse.


LeGarrette Blount: A fine running back, Blount perfectly represents the Patriots' game plan when it comes to RBs— take a running back that is either mercurial (Blount, Corey Dillon) or undervalued (Stevan Ridley, Kevin Faulk) and put them in a platoon until they stop playing well, then switch them out for another. Blount has been put in such a platoon and can't really be said to be the Patriots' starting running back. But when he is put in the right situation, he has flourished. He's been the Colts' personal kryptonite in the playoffs, rushing for 166 yards and 4 touchdowns against them in the 2013 playoffs, and going for 148 yards and three touchdowns in this past year's AFC Championship Game. So if the Patriots happen to play the Colts in the playoffs, you can bet Blount will get heavy touches in that game.

***

That's it.

Wednesday, September 9, 2015

2015 NFL POSTSEASON PREDICTIONS

With both NFL conference previews done, let's take a look at the potential playoff teams from each conference. Let's start with the AFC. Here are the teams I feel have at least a small shot at the postseason, in alphabetical order:

Baltimore Ravens
Buffalo Bills
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
Indianapolis Colts
Kansas City Chiefs
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
Pittsburgh Steelers

That's nine teams out of 16. So who is likely to make it?

First, let's separate the elite teams from the second-tier teams. The Patriots, Broncos and Colts are all but locks to make the postseason since they're the strongest teams their respective divisions.

That leaves the winner of the AFC North and two wild card spots. The Bengals are probably the most talented team with the fewest question marks of any team in the North. They have a good shot and winning the division, but what hangs me up is that the rest of the conference got tougher.

Going on last  year, there were only seven teams in the AFC in my mind that had playoff-caliber teams. That number increased by two this year, which means the AFC schedule is theoretically more of a pain this year than it was 12 months ago. I don't know how the Bengals will hold up with that.

The Bengals went 8-4 in conference play in 2013 and 7-5 in 2014 (they were 11-5 and 10-5-1 totally, respectively). They have a pretty rough schedule, facing off against improved Raiders and Bills teams, plus going against the NFC West. I think they'll have a winning record, but I don't know if that will translate into a division title, let alone a playoff spot.

While the Ravens also have a tough schedule, I think they'll do a better job in conference play. I'm fully prepared to be wrong on this and have the Bengals and Ravens swap places in the final standings, but for now I'll go with Baltimore as AFC North champions.

That takes care of the division winners. That leaves the Bills, Bengals, Chiefs, Dolphins and Steelers competing for the wild card spots. Unlike when we eliminated the strongest teams above, let's eliminate the teams with the most going against them.

The Steelers' defense will be one of the worst among the playoff contenders, and will likely sink them. Meanwhile, the Bills' quarterback situation is very worrisome and likely sinks them as well. That leaves the Bengals, Chiefs and Dolphins.

The Dolphins don't face the Chiefs or Bengals in 2015 and also benefit from a pretty easy schedule, so they're in. The Chiefs have to travel to Cincinnati to face the Bengals. Even if the Bengals win that game, I still think the Chiefs will get the nod over them, due to the Chiefs also have a slightly easier schedule. So that leaves the Bengals as one of the conference's better teams on the outside looking in.

With all that said, here's what I think the playoff seeding will look like in the AFC:

AFC Playoffs
1. Indianapolis Colts
2. New England Patriots
3. Denver Broncos
4. Baltimore Ravens
5. Kansas City Chiefs
6. Miami Dolphins


Now to the NFC. Here are the playoff hopefuls in that conference:

Arizona Cardinals
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
Dallas Cowboys
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints
Philadelphia Eagles
Seattle Seahawks
St. Louis Rams

That's 11 teams. We can pencil in the Packers and Seahawks as division winners without thinking too hard about it. In the NFC East, the Cowboys aren't as talented as the Eagles, but with so much turnover in Philadelphia I think the Cowboys have the advantage.

That leaves the NFC South, the worst division in the league. The Falcons, Panthers and Saints are all flawed teams playing in a flawed division. Whoever doesn't win the division will not be in the playoffs. The Saints' defense is going to be abysmal and the Panthers' offense will likely not be much better. The Falcons have more going for them by comparison. I think Dan Quinn could jury-rig a defense together to complement an offense that will likely be good. So yeah, the Falcons win the division based on being slightly less crap than the other teams.

That leaves the Cardinals, Lions, Vikings, Eagles and Rams as wild card contenders. The Rams are the weakest team in that lineup and I don't like their chances against any of the other teams I just mentioned, so they're out. The Eagles similarly are probably too green (no pun intended) to be anything other than a spoiler for the season. Ten wins should be enough for a playoff spot and I think the Eagles can reach that milestone. But I also think they'll lose on a tiebreaker with another team.

The Cardinals will make the playoffs as they're one of the more balanced teams (so long as Carson Palmer is healthy). That leaves the NFC North rival Lions and Vikings competing for the last spot. Are the Lions the better team than the Vikings? Probably. But as I mentioned in the NFC preview, I don't trust Jim Caldwell to build on his initial success with the team. If anything, I expect the Lions to regress. That leaves the Vikings, a team with a rocket strapped to their collective asses. With a good defense and a good, young quarterback, plus one of the best running backs in the NFL, the Vikings get the nod over the Lions.

Here's how the seeding will look in my mind:

NFC Playoffs
1. Green Bay Packers
2. Seattle Seahawks
3. Dallas Cowboys
4. Atlanta Falcons
5. Arizona Cardinals
6. Minnesota Vikings


And now, the playoff predictions proper:

Wild Card Round

Broncos over Dolphins

The Broncos at home against a team that hasn't made the playoffs since 2008? I'll take the Broncos, please.

Cowboys over Vikings

The Cowboys are the more experienced team so they have the advantage over the young Vikings. Of course, if any team could screw up a favorable playoff matchup, it's the Cowboys. I'm still going conservative for this prediction.

Chiefs over Ravens

Yeah, I'm going for it. The Chiefs with the road playoff win. That'll probably backfire horribly, but there it is. They have a really, really good defense and I think they can hang with the Ravens.

Cardinals over Falcons

The Cardinals win in a blowout.

Divisional Round

Patriots over Broncos

The Broncos don't play well in Foxborough, especially in January. That'll hold true this year again.

Seahawks over Cowboys

Believe in the home-field advantage for the Seahawks.

Colts over Chiefs

An exact rematch from their nutty playoff game in 2013 season. Same result, perhaps not with the same fireworks as the other game.

Packers over Cardinals

Yeah, I'm really going on a limb with no road teams winning in round two. But still, the Packers in Lambeau in January? Come on.

AFC Conference Championship Game

Colts over Patriots

This is a real tough one, but I'll go with the Colts due to them being at home in my fantasy world. It'll likely be close and really fun, though.

NFC Conference Championship Game

Packers over Seahawks

Another tough call, but the Seahawks aren't as good on the road and the Packers will be itching to beat them after last season's letdown. I think it'll be closer than a lot of people would think, but the end result would still be a Packers win.

Super Bowl 50

Packers over Colts

The Packers are the better team. Aaron Rodgers will probably go Joe-Montana-in-Super-Bowl-XXIV on the Colts' defense.

***

And that's what I think. But it's probably not what's going to happen. Just saying.