Saturday, December 28, 2013

NFL WEEK 17 PREDICTIONS

Well, this is it: the last week of the regular season. The playoffs begin a week from today and a month from now the season will truly be over with the completion of Super Bowl XLVIII. But we'll cross that bridge when it comes. For now, here are my stats and predictions for the final week.

Week 16 Total: 11-5 (.688)
Total Record: 151-87 (.634)

1. Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons

Thoughts: Fun fact: the Panthers haven't won in Atlanta since 2007. Of course, the Falcons are the drizzling shits this year, so I think that fortunes will change this year.

Pick: Panthers

2. Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

Thoughts: Despite the Bengals' less than stellar record against divisional opponents since 2011, they've played great at home (7-0 this year). Want another fun fact? This is the fourth season in a row where the Ravens and Bengals wrapped up their seasons against each other and it's the third year in a row the game has been played in Cincinnati.

Pick: Bengals

3. Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts

Thoughts: The Jaguars have played their divisional opponents extremely hard this year (barring their last game against the Colts anyway), which makes me think there may be an upset in the works. Tough call actually, but I'll go with the home team nonetheless.

Pick: Colts

4. New York Jets at Miami Dolphins

Thoughts: This is another potential upset waiting to happen. Say what you will about Rex Ryan, but the Jets play very hard for him. But I'm still going with the safe pick and the home team.

Pick: Dolphins

5. Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings

Thoughts: Honestly, with the way the Lions have played the last few weeks, do you really think they'll suddenly turn it on for one game? I don't. By the way, this will be the last ever game played at the Metrodome. So that's neat at least.

Pick: Vikings

6. Washington Redskins at New York Giants

Thoughts: All I can say is "congratulations to the St. Louis Rams for your shiny top 2 draft pick."

Pick: Giants

7. Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers

Thoughts: I know this has been the story since 1999, but wait until next year Browns fans. Teams don't usually send five players to the Pro Bowl for no reason. Of course, that won't be of much consolation against the Steelers. (The Steelers are going to finish at .500 after an 0-6 start? Who do they think they are? The 2009 Titans?)

Pick: Steelers

8. Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

Thoughts: Speaking of the Titans, they'll win tomorrow.

Pick: Titans

9. San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals

Thoughts: Man, the Cardinals have been great this year. Bruce Arians should win Coach of the Year for the second straight year (if that prediction comes true, he's be the first coach to win the award in consecutive seasons since Joe Gibbs did it from 1982-83). The 49ers had to fight tooth and nail to beat a terrible Falcons team, and now they're on the road against the first team to beat the Seahawks in Seattle since 2011? Not gonna be a good day for you, Niners fans.

Pick: Cardinals

10. Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears

Thoughts: Aaron Rodgers is back, which freaks me out. But damn it, I'm going with the Bears.

Pick: Bears

11. Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots

Thoughts: Bill Belichick is a really great coach. That's all I'll say about that.

Pick: Patriots

12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints

Thoughts: The Saints are at home, which means they'll actually play well.

Pick: Saints

13. Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders

Thoughts: Watch this game if you can, if only to watch Peyton Manning shatter damn near every significant single-season passing record.

Pick: Broncos

14. Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers

Thoughts: The Chiefs will continue to limp to the postseason with a loss tomorrow.

Pick: Chargers

15. St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks

Thoughts: Last week notwithstanding, always bet on the Seahawks at home.

Pick: Seahawks

16. Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys

Thoughts: Kyle Orton will take Tony Romo's place as the signal caller for the Cowboys. And it would be the most Cowboys thing ever if they won this game tomorrow. Still, it's the Eagles' turn to secure a division title by way of a Dallas meltdown.

Pick: Eagles

If all of these predictions hold true (and they won't), this is what the playoff picture will look like:

AFC
1. Denver Broncos
2. New England Patriots
3. Cincinnati Bengals
4. Indianapolis Colts
5. Kansas City Chiefs
6. Miami Dolphins

NFC
1. Seattle Seahawks
2. Carolina Panthers
3. Philadelphia Eagles
4. Chicago Bears
5. New Orleans Saints
6. San Francisco 49ers

Plus, the Texans would have the number one pick in the 2014 draft, and while Washington would have the number two pick, it'll be the Rams' pick thanks to the RG3 trade. Regardless of what the outcomes are tomorrow, things won't be boring.

Sunday, December 22, 2013

NFL WEEK 16 PREDICTIONS

Week 15 Record: 9-7 (.563)
Total Record: 140-82 (.631)

1. Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills

Thoughts: Buffalo already beat Miami once this year and it's incredibly hard to sweep a division rival. I could see the Bills playing spoilers for the Dolphins' playoff hopes because the only thing the Bills are playing for right now is pettiness. But I think the Dolphins will win.

Pick: Dolphins

2. New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

Thoughts: So the Saints suck on the road. They are on the road, ergo, they will lose. Plus, the Panthers probably want to whip their asses after they got thumped in the Superdome.

Pick: Panthers

3. Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals

Thoughts: The Vikings aren't in the same division as the Bengals, so the Bengals will probably win. (Since 2011, the Bengals are 21-8 (.609) against opponents outside the AFC North, but are decisively mediocre 7-10 (.412) within the division. Also, they are 2-4 (.333) in nationally televised games during that same span. Good thing there is absolutely no pressure on them for this game.)

Pick: Bengals

4. Denver Broncos at Houston Texans

Thoughts: The Texans might put up a little fight before having their necks snapped under the heels of the Broncos.

Pick: Broncos

5. Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars

Thoughts: Tough call. The Jaguars have only lost by double digits once since coming off of their bye (and have only lost two games total in that span). I think the Jags will outlast the Titans.

Pick: Jaguars

6. Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs

Thoughts: The Chiefs aren't imploding like the Texans, so I expect them to spank the Colts in Arrowhead.

Pick: Chiefs

7. Cleveland Browns at New York Jets

Thoughts: A game pitting two teams having nothing seasons; quite the toss-up. Home field advantage, go!

Pick: Jets

8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers at St. Louis Rams

Thoughts: This might be a pick 'em as well. The Rams are at home and theoretically are a more talented team, so advantage St. Louis.

Pick: Rams

9. Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins

Thoughts: As mediocre and flaky as the Cowboys are, do you really expect them to lose to Washington of all teams? I know the answer is "yes", but I'm still going with the Cowboys.

Pick: Cowboys

10. New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens

Thoughts: The Ravens should win since they seem to have the Patriots' number and the Pats are so thin due to injuries. But I think the Patriots will pounce and take advantage of Joe Flacco's mildly sprained MCL.

Pick: Patriots

11. New York Giants at Detroit Lions

Thoughts: The Giants defense actually played pretty well against the Seahawks and the Lions are turnover prone. So I fully expect the Lions to continue to piss away their playoff chances this week.

Pick: Giants

12. Pittsburgh Steelers at Green Bay Packers

Thoughts: No Aaron Rodgers? No problem against the Steelers. I think. Maybe. Oh hell, I don't know!

Pick: Packers

13. Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers

Thoughts: After flirting with slight respectability at certain points this year, the Raiders are back to being a hot mess. A revived Philip Rivers will likely carve up the defense all day.

Pick: Chargers

14. Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks

Thoughts: Never bet against the Seahawks at home.

Pick: Seahawks

15. Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles

Thoughts: Oh God, this game. The Eagles' pass defense is retched which gives the Bears a clear advantage, but I expect the Eagles to win with some offensive magic of their own.

Pick: Eagles

16. Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers

Thoughts: Last game ever at Candlestick Park for the 49ers, and fittingly, it's against a former division rival (the Falcons were in the NFC West from 1970 until 2001, despite the fact that they weren't, you know, located anywhere near the west). Also fittingly, this game will probably be like watching a Falcons/49ers game from the 80s where the 49ers just destroyed the Falcons most of the time.

Pick: 49ers

Saturday, December 14, 2013

NFL WEEK 15 PREDICTIONS

Total Record: 132-75 (.638)

1. Washington Redskins at Atlanta Falcons

Thoughts: Kirk Cousins will get the start for Washington, but I think the road disadvantage will hurt them against the Dirty Birds.

Pick: Falcons

2. Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns

Thoughts: The Browns are an absolute mess on offense and their defense hasn't played well. Jay Cutler will start for the Bears and he'll probably be rusty, but I don't think Cleveland is talented enough to capitalize on that.

Pick: Bears

3. Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

Thoughts: Indy's at home and the Texans are a tire fire. But teams that replace their head coach usually win the very next game as a way for the players to deflect blame from themselves for the crappy play. So even though the Texans have never won a game in Indianapolis, I'm calling for the unlikely upset.

Pick: Texans

4. Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars

Thoughts: This is such a pick 'em game. Home field advantage wins again.

Pick: Jaguars

5. New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

Thoughts: The Patriots have lost so many pieces this year and will be shorthanded again in South Florida. I expect the Dolphins to take advantage of their hurting division rival.

Pick: Dolphins

6. Philadelphia Eagles at Minnesota Vikings

Thoughts: The Eagles are hotter than they've been since about 2010 while the Vikings are just plain sad. I expect Adrian Peterson to play and for his team to look pretty awful.

Pick: Eagles

7. Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants

Thoughts: The Giants are such a pain to predict. Damn it, I'm going with the better team and I'm not turning back!

Pick: Seahawks

8. San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Thoughts: Tampa's won four of its last five games, but the 49ers aren't exactly like the Bills. They're more like the Panthers. And how did that go for the Bucs?

Pick: 49ers

9. New York Jets at Carolina Panthers

Thoughts: The Jets played well last week, but they're facing a Panthers team that's coming off of an emasculating loss to the Saints. This will not be a fun week for Gang Green.

Pick: Panthers

10. Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys

Thoughts: No Aaron Rodgers again this week (and unless the Bears AND the Lions both lose this week, I don't expect to see number 12 again this year). The Cowboys are just good enough to beat a hurting Packers team. And I mean every bit of that back-handed compliment.

Pick: Cowboys

11. Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders

Thoughts: The Chiefs are going to eat the Raiders' lunch.

Pick: Chiefs

12. New Orleans Saints at St. Louis Rams

Thoughts: The Saints are on the road, but in a dome. The last time the Saints were in St. Louis, they got embarrassed by a Rams team that won two games that whole year. I don't expect that to happen this time.

Pick: Saints

13. Arizona Cardinals at Tennessee Titans

Thoughts: The Titans play hard, but the Cardinals are simply a better team (by the way, I've used a lot of "buts" in this article). That fact will eventually take the game over for the Cards.

Pick: Cardinals

14. Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

Thoughts: I picked a lot of road teams this week and if there's one game where I expect the road team to lose, it's this one. But I still think the Bengals will win. Because the Steelers are not good.

Pick: Bengals

15. Baltimore Ravens at Detroit Lions

Thoughts: The Ravens are hot, the Lions are not. And neither team will be playing in a blizzard this week. Good for them, but that kind of makes me sad.

Pick: Ravens

Thursday, December 12, 2013

NFL WEEK 15 THURSDAY GAME PREDICTION

Week 14 Record: 12-4 (.750)
Total Record: 131-75 (.636)

Game: San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos

Thoughts: Despite the 28-20 score for their last meeting (a Broncos win) the Broncos dominated the Chargers pretty much for the whole game until the waning minutes. And that was in San Diego. I expect the Broncos to again make mincemeat of the Bolts, especially since the game will be on the Broncos' turf.

Pick: Broncos

Sunday, December 8, 2013

NFL WEEK 14 PREDICTIONS

Total Record: 120-71 (.628)

1. Minnesota Vikings at Baltimore Ravens

Thoughts: The Ravens are at home and have a great defense, which will be more than enough to deal with the Vikings.

Pick: Ravens

2. Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals

Thoughts: If ever there was evidence on how great Reggie Wayne is, look no further than the Colts after he got hurt. They've struggled to beat the Texans and Titans, and their two losses were by a combined score of 19-78. Now they're on the road taking on the Bengals. I don't like their chances.

Pick: Bengals

3. Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers

Thoughts: It's cold as a mother in Green Bay today. The Falcons have won one game this year on the road, so I don't expect them to perform an upset in Lambeau Field.

Pick: Packers

4. Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots

Thoughts: Browns on the road? Against the Patriots? No good.

Pick: Patriots

5. Oakland Raiders at New York Jets

Thoughts: You know what I expect from this game? Turnovers and minimal passing yards (Joe Namath and Daryle Lamonica aren't exactly suiting up for either team). I expect New York to throw and fumble the game away. Avert your eyes, football viewing public.

Pick: Raiders

6. Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles

Thoughts: Philly's gonna win. (Of course, the last time I wrote a message like this, the Rams beat the ever loving crap out of the Colts, so take this for what it's worth.)

Pick: Eagles

7. Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers

Thoughts: Pitt's gonna win.

Pick: Steelers

8. Buffalo Bills at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Thoughts: The Bills lost to the Falcons at home. Do you really expect them to pull one out on the road against the Bucs?

Pick: Buccaneers

9. Kansas City Chiefs at Washington Redskins

Thoughts: Kansas City is going to destroy Washington, and that'll probably be all she wrote for the Mike Shanahan era in the capital if this report is to be believed.

Pick: Chiefs

10. St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals

Thoughts: Tough call, but the Rams already beat Arizona once this year and they did it in St. Louis. I think this'll be a spit.

Pick: Cardinals

11. Tennessee Titans at Denver Broncos

Thoughts: No thoughts necessary. A recurring theme this week (via the waning weeks of football).

Pick: Broncos

12. New York Giants at San Diego Chargers

Thoughts: HEY, DID YOU HEAR THAT ELI MANNING AND PHILIP RIVERS WERE TRADED FOR EACH OTHER ON DRAFT DAY IN 2004 AND NOW THEIR TEAMS ARE FACING OFF TODAY?! The Chargers are at home, but the Giants are an annoying team that wins when it shouldn't. So advantage: Empire State.

Pick: Giants

13. Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers

Thoughts: Everything about this game points to the 49ers winning, but I just think the Seahawks will pull it out. Call it a hunch.

Pick: Seahawks

14. Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints

Thoughts: The Panthers are red hot and a win would give them control of the NFC South, even for a week. Unfortunately, they're on the road, and the Saints haven't lost in the Super Dome this year.

Pick: Saints

15. Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears

Thoughts: This'll probably be a shootout, and I've just got to believe that the Bears can win in that instance. Blind devotion, go!

Pick: Bears

Thursday, December 5, 2013

NFL WEEK 14 THURSDAY GAME PREDICTION

Week 13 Record: 10-6 (.625)
Total Record: 119-71 (.626)

Game: Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars

Thoughts: I have zero thoughts about this game. And frankly, if anyone has thoughts about this game, they should feel very bad about themselves.

Pick: Jaguars

Sunday, December 1, 2013

NFL WEEK 13 PREDICTIONS

Okay, this post is late because my computer is on the fritz. The entire column of keys from 'F2' down to 'C' doesn't work, and you'd be surprised how many words need an 'E' a 'D' or a 'C' in order to spell it out. So I'm confined to the crappy, old laptop I've had since I was in high school as far as writing articles is concerned. For that reason, we're going back to "Busy College Student" type predictions for the foreseeable future until my computer is fixed. Sorry for the delay.

Total Record: 112-65 (.633)

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
2. Jacksonville Jaguars at Cleveland Browns
3. New England Patriots at Houston Texans
4. Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts
5. Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings
6. Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
7. Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles
8. Atlanta Falcons at Buffalo Bills
9. Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
10. Cincinnati Bengals at San Diego Chargers
11. St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers
12. New York Giants at Washington Redskins
13. New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks