Saturday, November 9, 2013

NFL WEEK 10 PREDICTIONS

Total Record: 87-46 (.659)
Byes: Browns, Chiefs, Patriots, Jets

1. Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons

Thoughts: This is a scary game only because the Falcons are at home for this one. I know the Falcons have a bad defense and a bad offensive line. But that advantage in the Georgia Dome is palpable. Both of their wins this year have been at home and they haven't lost by more than a touchdown at home this year. The Seahawks also struggled at home against the Bucs. I'm still going to go with Seattle, but this game is going to be very close. I won't be surprised if the Falcons pull an upset.

Pick: Seahawks

2. Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens

Thoughts: The Ravens are a mediocre team. The Bengals are coming off of a mini-bye and despite the loss to the Dolphins (in fairness, they were on the road), they're still one of the best teams in the AFC.

Pick: Bengals

3. Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

Thoughts: Cutler should be back for the Bears, which is good. The Lions are coming off of a bye, which is bad. The Bears' defense isn't that great and will still be without Lance Briggs. That's bad. The Lions' offense is really good. That's also bad. But the Lions are on the road. That's... probably good. Screw it, I'll go with the split.

Pick: Bears (sorry for last week)

4. Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers

Thoughts: This is another scary game. The Packers will be without Aaron Rodgers for the foreseeable future and Nick Foles had a great game against the Raiders last week (you can argue he had the best game he could possibly have against another team). I know the Raiders' defense isn't good, but the Packers' defense isn't exactly great shakes either, Clay Matthews or no Clay Matthews not withstanding. But that Lambeau advantage... (they've lost a whopping three games there since 2010 and have won 25).

Pick: Packers

5. St. Louis Rams at Indianapolis Colts

Thoughts: Indy's gonna win.

Pick: Colts

6. Oakland Raiders at New York Giants

Thoughts: I think the Raiders could be competitive again as soon as next year, but this year is going to be very up and down. Their D-Line doesn't get a lot of sacks (Lamarr Houston has four sacks, and he leads the team), so the Giants' O-Line might have a chance to look like a professional unit this week. Eli's still one of the better quarterbacks in the league and Victor Cruz is one of the better receivers. Plus, the Giants are at home. I think that will be the biggest advantage.

Pick: Giants

7. Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers

Thoughts: E.J. Manuel returns for the Bills, and their defense has actually played fairly well. But I think Pittsburgh will pull one out.

Pick: Steelers

8. Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans

Thoughts: Do I really have to justify picking the Titans?

Pick: Titans

9. Houston Texans at Arizona Cardinals

Thoughts: This is another worrying game. Case Keenum has a lot of potential and has played extremely well in two Texans losses. But the Cardinals are a scrappy team. They've played only two games this year where they were completely outmatched (at the Saints and vs. the Seahawks for those of you wondering). Whenever it's a pick 'em, almost always go with the home team.

Pick: Cardinals

10. Carolina Panthers at San Francisco 49ers

Thoughts: A surprisingly scary game. I think the 49ers' defense will be too much for the Panthers' offense, but I'll be very interested in seeing how the 49ers' offense plays against the Panthers' extremely good front seven.

Pick: 49ers

11. Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers

Thoughts: Lots of scary games this week. The Chargers aren't going to the playoffs, but Phillip Rivers is having a comeback year. The Broncos' defense is also extremely flawed, but as long as Peyton Manning isn't slowed down considerably, I think they can win in a shootout with the Super Chargers.

Pick: Broncos

12. Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints

Thoughts: Saints at home equals bad news for the Cowboys.

Pick: Saints

13. Miami Dolphins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Thoughts: The Dolphins are the more talented team, but they're also dealing with the fact that their locker room is imploding. The Bucs played very well against the Seahawks (for one quarter, but still, they made it count) and are at home. I'm going with the upset.

Pick: Buccaneers

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